Hunter Greene is ranked as the #1 player in the draft by both Baseball America and MLB Pipeline as I type this. He’s been ranked at the top of both places since the beginning of the year and not much has been done by anyone else to change that.
As a high school right handed pitcher, Hunter Greene is looking at never-before territory. There has never been a high school right handed pitcher ever taken #1 overall in the draft. Three lefties have gone #1 overall from the high school ranks (David Clyde – 1973, Brien Taylor – 1991, Brady Aiken – 2014).
The 2017 season has been rather interesting for Hunter Greene. He’s pitched well, posting a 0.75 ERA in 28.0 innings pitched. In that span he’ed walked just four batters and has 43 strikeouts. However, he’s only made five starts this spring and may not make another. He’s not injured, but is possibly protecting his arm from the risk of injury before signing a professional contract. What he has done, though, is throw bullpen sessions for teams to keep giving them looks when needed.
102 MPH. That’s the big thing that everyone thinks about with Hunter Greene. He’s reached elite levels with his fastball velocity. He doesn’t sit anywhere near 102 MPH, but when you show it once, it’s there.
Hunter Greene Scouting Report
Fastball | While he’s topped out as high as 102 MPH, he generally sits between 93-97 MPH with the pitch. It features some armside action, especially at the 93-95 MPH range.
Curveball | This pitch has been a bit controversial recently. Jim Callis of MLB.com had this in a recent article about Hunter Greene:
Some scouts rate his curveball as well below average and think he’ll have to scrap it in favor of a slider, while others grade both offerings as fringy, but with the potential to become plus.
If you’ve watched plenty of video on Hunter Greene, you can see where both sides are coming from. If nothing else, right now, his curveball is very inconsistent. Depending on when you see him, you could come away with very different opinions on his breaking ball.
Change Up | The pitch doesn’t get used as often as the other two pitches, but it shows promise. It’s got nice armside run and some sink to it.
If Hunter Greene weren’t such a strong pitching prospect there’s a chance he’d be a 1st rounder as a shortstop. He’s incredibly athletic, which gives him an advantage over most other pitchers in this draft. When you think about the kind of player who could go in the top one or two picks in the draft, you think about a guy like Hunter Greene. For pitchers, the carrying tool is you want over any other is the big fastball. He’s got the biggest fastball in the draft. It’s a pitch you can dream on just dominating hitters.
There are a few concerns though, too. Shutting things down is unheard of. That may not sit well with everyone. The concerns about the breaking ball are real, though it’s generally easier to teach a breaking ball than a change up, and he’s at least showing a good breaking ball at times. Compared to the college pitchers, and even a few of the other 1st round high school pitchers, he’s not quite as polished. As a high schooler, he’s going to be more of a long-term option than someone that will move quickly from the college ranks. In itself, that’s not a concern, but that could come into play depending on how a front office wants to build on their future.
At the top of the draft, you want a guy who could become a superstar. Hunter Greene comes with some risk, no doubt, but he’s also a guy who has the look of someone who could be a superstar. If he’s there for the Cincinnati Reds at #2 in the draft and is selected, it would get my approval.
For other 2017 Draft Scouting Report profiles, click here.