Today will be rounds 11-20 of the 2021 Major League Baseball Draft. It will be the final day of the draft. This post will contain all of the information for each one of the Cincinnati Reds selections on Day 3 of the draft. It will be updated throughout the day as each pick comes in. Things get underway at 12 pm ET.
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Quick hit links and information:
- The Cincinnati Reds Picks/Reports from Day 1
- The Cincinnati Reds Picks/Reports from Day 2
- Baseball America’s Top 500 (subscription required)
- MLB Pipeline Top 200
- Fangraphs Top 78
- ESPN’s Top 200 (subscription required)
You can follow along with the conference call at MLB.com. You can also follow along with the MLB Draft Tracker right here.
Cincinnati Reds Round 11 Selection: Shawn Guilliams
Background information:
- School: College of Central Florida
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 1″
- Weight: 185 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Shawn Guilliams Scouting Report
His fastball works in the low-to-mid 90’s with strong spin rates. He will also mix in a curveball that flashes itself as above-average to plus that works 78-82 MPH with very high spin rates. There’s a change up in the mid-to-upper 80’s that shows promise, but is a clear third offering for him at this point and needs to continue to be refined. His mechanics may eventually mean he winds up in the bullpen as there is some effort in there, but a three pitch mix means there’s an opportunity to start.
He was injured and last pitched on March 15th. He had a forearm injury, but did throw at the MLB Draft combine last month.
Shawn Guilliams Video
Editors note: This video is from just over a year ago. The velocities listed in the video are no longer accurate. It was the most recent video I could find on short notice and at least gives you an idea of what it looks like.
Shawn Guilliams College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 12 Selection: Julian Aguiar
Background information:
- School: Cypress College
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 3″
- Weight: 180 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Julian Aguiar Scouting Report
A recently converted pitcher, Julian Aguiar was a third baseman in high school for the most part before making the full time move to the mound at El Camino junior college. He sits in the low 90’s with his fastball and has touched 95. He will mix in a breaking ball in the 77-82 MPH range, as well as change up that’s a clear third offering for him.
Julian Aguiar Video
Julian Aguiar College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 13 Selection: Mike Trautwein
Background information:
- School: Northwestern
- Position: Catcher
- Height: 6′ 1″
- Weight: 185 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Michael Trautwein Scouting Report
Announced as Michael Trautwein, the Northwestern catcher is listed as Mike in some places – just to be sure to avoid any confusion. He had a breakout season when it comes to his power output in 2021 as he clubbed 11 home runs after hitting just 3 in his first two years (61 games). He walked 19 times and struck out 24 times in 36 games during this past season, but also hit just .241/.348/.519.
He’s got an average to above-average arm behind the plate. For a catcher he’s fast, but he’s a fringe-average runner overall.
He is the son of former big leaguer John Trautwein.
Michael Trautwein College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 14 Selection: Carter Raffield
Background information:
- School: Clemson
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 4″
- Weight: 225 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Carter Raffield Scouting Report
Coming off of Tommy John surgery that cost him his 2019 season and then not pitching much in 2020 with the collegiate season being cancelled, the track record for Carter Raffield is limited. He threw just 26.2 innings between 2020 and 2021, making six starts with two relief appearances in this past season. He walked 19 batters with 25 strikeouts in 19.0 innings for Clemson in 2021. Getting two different redshirt seasons, he’s still technically a freshman.
He will throw his fastball in the low 90’s and he’s been up to 96 MPH. His breaking ball will flash above-average in the low-80’s, but it is still an inconsistent pitch. There’s also a change up that shows potential. Control was a big issue during 2021 and will need to get significantly better as a professional if he is going to move up the ladder.
Carter Raffield College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 15 Selection: Blake Dunn
Background information:
- School: Western Michigan
- Position: Outfield
- Height: 6′ 0″
- Weight: 210 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Blake Dunn Scouting Report
When it comes to athleticism, Blake Dunn has it. He’s a plus-plus runner and has plus defense in centerfield. Baseball America named him the second best athlete in college in 2020 among draft eligible players. He’s got average power potential and an average hit tool to go along with his speed and his defense.
He missed over a month after a hamate injury early in the year, and played very sparingly in April before getting back on the field in May. He only wound up getting 59 at-bats during the season.
Blake Dunn Video
Blake Dunn College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 16 Selection: Owen Holt
Background information:
- School: Alvin Community College
- Position: RHP
- Height: 6′ 3″
- Weight: 225 lbs.
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Owen Holt Scouting Report
Originally a pitcher at Harvard, Owen Holt transferred to Alvin Community College for the 2021 season when the Ivy League opted to not play a season. Holt sits in the low 90’s with his fastball and has been up to 95 with above-average spin rates. He also throws an average to above-average slider in the low 80’s. Holt also mixes in a change up and a show-me curveball.
Owen Holt Video
Owen Holt College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 17 Selection: Dennis Boatman
Background information:
- School: Sacramento Community College
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 5″
- Weight: 225 lbs.
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Dennis Boatman Scouting Report
Dennis Boatman began his collegiate career at UCLA but transferred after freshman season when he was a redshirt and didn’t play. His fastball has been up to 96 MPH while sitting 92-94. He also shows a slider that is very inconsistent, but will show itself as an average offering at times. Control has been a problem at times. It’s interesting to note the difference in his walk rate at Sacramento Community College where he’s walked 13 batters in 55.0 innings compared to summer college league walk rate where he’s walked 81 batters in 59.1 innings.
Dennis Boatman Video
Dennis Boatman College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 18 Selection: Austin Callahan
Background information:
- School: Hutchinson Community College
- Position: Third Base
- Height: 6′ 3″
- Weight: 215 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Left/Right
Austin Callahan Scouting Report
Last month saw Austin Callahan named as a NJCAA All-American Honorable Mention for his 2021 season.
Austin Callahan College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 19 Selection: Ryan Cardona
Background information:
- School: Marist College
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 1″
- Weight: 200 lbs.
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Ryan Cardona Scouting Report
The righty throws in the low 90’s with his fastball and will top out around 94-95. He also throws a change up in the low 80’s.
Ryan Cardona Video
Ryan Cardona College Stats
Cincinnati Reds Round 20 Selection: Javi Rivera
Background information:
- School: Florida Atlantic
- Position: Right-handed pitcher
- Height: 6′ 1″
- Weight: 195 lbs
- Bats/Throws: Right/Right
Javi Rivera Scouting Report
He converted to a pitcher while at Indian River State College. He’s got a live arm, sitting 92-94 and touching 97 MPH with his fastball. He also mixes in a curveball in the 78-81 MPH range as well as a change up in the mid-80’s.
Javi Rivera Video
Javi Rivera College Stats
Injury hurts. Like the high Spin Rates though.
Plus a Nice Curve.
Nice Pick for 11th rd.
I think I saw where Guilliams was able to throw at the recent combine, so whatever it was, he is back throwing and hopefully the injury is not a concern.
Good Point Krozley thank you.
MLB.com has it in the notes of the draft tracker that it was a forearm issue.
Thanks Tom.
The Reds got Mike Traut!—wein…
Nice …
How many of these guys do the Reds expect to sign? I assume they’ll sign all of their top 10 round picks. Beyond that, what do they need to fill out their organizational rosters?
I think they are at their organizational limit right now, so they will have to cut a current player for every player they sign, although I think they can sign 10 or so to “futures” contracts if they don’t play during this season that wouldn’t count against the 180 player limit. The rules for all that are still a bit cloudy for me. With only one high school kid drafted so far, my guess is they try to sign all of them, but end up signing 18-20 of the 22.
One thing I’m not sure about is how 60-day DL guys are handled. I had read somewhere earlier that they did count against the 180 limit, but I think that may not ultimately be the case. If they don’t count, the Reds will have room to sign whoever they want as I think they have 21 guys currently on the 60-day list.
DL? DL?
You must be an older guy like me. (I still use that term), but it is no IL.
(LOL)
Old habits die hard.
To this point, just 1 HS player. I’m sure the Reds will brush questions off about that, but it almost has to be the result of something intentional.
I’ve seen it suggested elsewhere that, due to Covid, scouting of high schoolers was more scattershot this year than is normal. It may be the Reds just don’t feel they have enough information on the high schoolers and are choosing to focus on college players as a result.
So, this Blake Dunn guy sounds interesting. Speed and defense and apparently an all around great athlete. I am intrigued.
Same here
He will be 23 in September, but I suppose the normal age thing is out the window under the circumstances.
Owen Holt is the one who intrigues me. Anybody who transfers from Harvard to Alvin Community College isn’t afraid to make a bold decision.
Looks like they drafted an entire team
10-RHP, 1-LHP, 2-C, 1-1B, 2-MI, 1-3B, 3-OF
Austin Callahan hit a line of .422 /.510/.854 on 240 PAs in 2021 …What a h.. is this? I could not imagine what are his weaknesses so he was not even ranked …
Junior college stats can get wild.
Those stats only got him honorable mention all-american in NJCAA-1. The player of the year, Noah Turley, had a .908 slugging percentage. He played at the local JC here (Yavapai-AZ) and the field is tiny. They don’t mark the distances to the fence, but down the line is about 230 ft and CF is probably 360 ft (although a 30 ft. high fence). The district championship was here and the average runs per game was 23 (with half of the games not even going the full 9). I’m sure not all fields are that small, but there is a lot of hitting in JC. Doesn’t mean they’re not good players, but the stats need a handful of salt to go with them.
Right? He looks to be the best of the bunch!
As these guys sign, guys will be released to make room. Would the Reds (or any team) be looking to pounce on released players, or is the expectation that anyone who is released over the next few weeks is just organizational filler anyway? I assume the Reds would be in on someone useful who was released. But are they monitoring each system and actively planning for which players they’d go after if they became available? Is it a proactive or reactive process?
Angels picked 20 pitchers, 19 collegians.. wild!
Thanks for coming along for the journey in the last few days, peeps. It’s been, fun?
I’m going to go eat something now. And maybe grab a nap before the All-Star game.
Thanks Doug! You’re the best – there’s really no better place for Reds draft/prospects info like this.
Rest up and enjoy the game! ;)
Thanks Doug! Great work! Much appreciated.
Thanks Doug and all the posters here who contributed . Appreciate the opinions and insight from all.
thanks for everything, great work as always
+1
If you’re reading this and haven’t considered supporting Doug on Patreon, what’s keeping you?
:-)
So how does this draft stack up against the Reds farm system in terms of needs and future promotions? Does anyone publish an overall organization depth chart that shows “likely” roster progression over time?
How does a guy smart enough to go to Harvard leave and go to Alvin Community College. Can’t say it was about positioning for a better draft opportunity at Round 16. For the kids reading this site, stay at Harvard.
You can go back to Harvard on a baseball scholarship next year and still graduate from Harvard if you choose. Playing baseball this year is important if what you want to do is to try and play professional baseball. Explore all of your options kids.
his season was canceled due to COVID in the ivy league, genius
Another Callihan to root for.
And the OLineman should be fun to follow
I just hope one of those top two SS hits, it would be nice to have more SS talent in the pipeline
Thanks for all you do, Doug!!!!
With only 1 HS draftee, the bonus pool calculations really dont matter, even with the senior picks. Hope Reds do right and dont give the Seniors $5-10k. Spread the wealth. Was a bit surprised they didnt take a late flyer on a HS kid.
I love the last 10 rounds of the draft. 7 pitchers!!! I hope Boddy provided a list of Boddy prospects. I can’t help but think Boddy is turning things around in the minors. I don’t know if Boddy is responsible but:
Ashcraft was outside the top 500 prospects in baseball 3 months ago. Now he is in the top 200 I think and would not be surprised if he popped up in several top 100 midseason prospect lists.
Bonnin spent too many days on the IL to move up much but love what he did in his start in Daytona. Zero hits, Zero BB, 73% K%, 75% GB rate for the 4 balls in play thus far. Ashcraft has been impressive because he never gives up any runs. But this one start by Bonnin is uber impressive.
Proctor was not drafted last year and is dominant in Daytona.
Kravetz was taken in the 5th round and dominating in Daytona.
The Reds can go to these 7 pitchers taken after round 10 and tell them Look at these 4. If you want your best chance to play in the majors you need to sign with the Reds.
They also selected one of the best athletes in the draft in the last 10 picks and a hitter with incredible JUCO stats.
I know nothing about these players. But I am pumped about this draft. I love no hitters on day one where the Reds have no Boddy advantage. I love day three even more. If Boddy can turn Abbott into a top 100 prospect day two is a huge success. On the downside I wish the Reds would have taken Bubba Chandler with the 30th pick and I wish Kahlil Watson would have fallen one more pick.
no pitchers on day one, not no hitters
The value for the Reds should have been in hitters, as a bunch of teams only picked pitchers. Hopefully Boddy was able to get whom he wanted.
Javi Rivera is from Florida Atlantic, and I would assume played alongside of Francisco Urbaez.
Stellar stache on Boatman.