The Cincinnati Reds have a slightly better idea of one of their draft spots in the first round for 2023. As a small market team they are awarded a competitive balance round draft pick each year, but there are two rounds for that and this year the Reds are in Round A, which directly follows the first round. Eight teams are in Round A, and Cincinnati landed in the 7th spot among that group.
Last season the Reds had a Competitive Balance Round B pick, which wound up being the 73rd overall pick, and the team used it to select outfielder Justin Boyd out of Oregon State. The team also had a second 1st round pick last year thanks to a qualifying offer that they extended to Nick Castellanos that he declined. They used that pick, the 32nd overall in the draft, to select high school third baseman Sal Stewart.
This year they’ll have two 1st round picks again, but they still don’t know exactly where those picks will be. With the new collective bargaining agreement that was reached in the spring there is now a draft lottery for the first six picks in the draft that the 18 non-playoff teams are all eligible for. After those six spots are won via the lottery, the remaining 12 teams are given spots 7-18 based on their records in 2022. Cincinnati had the 4th worst record in baseball and thus has the 4th best odds for the #1 pick, but they could wind up anywhere from 1st to 10th in the draft depending on how the lottery plays out (they could wind up 10th if the Nationals, Athletics, Pirates, and Reds all fail to “win” one of the top 6 draft picks in the lottery).
The Reds competitive balance Round A pick is subject to teams luxury tax numbers. If a team goes over the number by $40M then they fall in the draft by 10 spots. That could push the Reds pick that followed the first round depending on if and what team would get there. It’s likely that they will select 37th with that pick, but it could change. Teams no longer lose or gain 1st round picks with regards to the qualifying offer. The 3rd and 5th rounds, though, could see some slight movement as compensation picks are awards after the competitive round B and the 4th round depending on which player is signed among the players who declined qualifying offers this year.