Jake Paulson
Jake Paulson

Who were the top groundball pitchers in the Cincinnati Reds farm system?

While groundball rates aren’t a big part of what makes a pitcher successful (that would be a pitchers strikeout and walk ratios), the groundball rate does make a difference on the margins. An example I like to use is that if a pitcher’s success were ice cream, the walk and strikeout rates are the ice cream, but the groundball rate is the sprinkles. It’s not the difference maker, but it can help (or hurt if a pitcher is an extreme fly ball pitcher).

Which starters were the top groundball rate guys in the system during 2015 at the full season levels?

PitcherAgeLevelGB%
Jake Paulson23A67.1%
Tejay Antone21A61.2%
Barrett Astin23A+/AA58.0%
Wyatt Strahan22A57.2%
Sal Romano21A+/AA56.5%

While there’s an obvious difference in the quality of hitters in the Major Leagues and the Minor Leagues, just to give this some perspective, the average groundball rate in 2015 for pitchers with at least 100 innings pitched (which eliminates relievers from the sample) is 46%. What jumps out here is that three of the players all pitched for the Dayton Dragons all season long. Jake Paulson’s 67.1% is the highest rate for a non-rookie ball pitcher that I can remember. That’s incredibly impressive. It’s 10% higher than Tejay Antone’s 61.2%, which is also incredibly impressive.

What about the relievers from 2015 from the full season levels?

PitcherAgeLevelGB%
Kevin Shackelford26AA67.7%
Evan Mitchell23A+66.5%
Jake Ehret22A60.1%
Kyle McMyne25AA58.4%
Joel Bender23A+/AA/AAA56.8%

Kevin Shackelford and Evan Mitchell led the way and were a good chunk ahead of the pack. Shackelford led the organization for full season pitchers with his 67.7% groundball rate during the season. The Pensacola Blue Wahoos bullpen seemed to get a lot of groundballs with three of the top five guys spending time coming out of their pen. Kyle McMyne showed an enormous improvement in his groundball rate, going from 40.8% in 2014 to 58.4% in 2015.

Here’s how the Top 5 groundball pitchers in the rookie leagues broke down:

PitcherAgeLevelGB%
Juan Martinez22BIL70.6%
Jacob Constante21BIL63.2%
Austin Orewiler22BIL60.6%
Jesus Reyes22AZL57.3%
Sandy Lugo21AZL/BIL56.5%

Juan Martinez had the highest rate of groundballs in the organization in 2015, but pitching in rookie ball he only tossed 33.1 innings. The small sample of innings does dilute the impressiveness somewhat because you can get larger variances, but that’s just the second guy over the 70% mark that I can recall in the last five years. The other guy to top that mark was Jacob Constante (in 2014), who finds himself at 63.2% this season.

As noted in the opening of the article, the groundball rate isn’t going to make or break a pitcher, but it will help them on the margins if they induce a lot of grounders to go along with good walk and strikeout rates. There have been some studies done in the past that with the advancement to each level, a pitcher loses 1% from his groundball rate. So keep that in mind when looking at these numbers.

Here’s the full list of 81 pitchers from the organization this year.

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NameAgeLevelGB%
Adrian Rodriguez18Rk52.3%
Alejandro Chacin22A+,A52.2%
Alfredo Mena21Rk34.0%
Amir Garrett*23A+46.3%
Austin Orewiler22Rk60.6%
Barrett Astin23AA,A+58.0%
Ben Klimesh25AA,AAA47.8%
Brandon Finnegan*22AAA48.5%
Brennan Bernardino*23A,AAA51.5%
Brian Hunter22A45.1%
Carlos Contreras24AAA38.9%
Carlos Gonzalez25A+,AA34.7%
Carlos Machorro18Rk43.9%
Cody Reed*22AA46.7%
Collin Balester29AAA42.9%
Conor Krauss22A56.2%
Daniel Wright24AA43.1%
David Holmberg*23AAA45.1%
Donovan Hand29AAA40.8%
Drew Hayes27AAA,AA53.0%
Dylan Axelrod29AAA42.8%
El’Hajj Muhammad23A+48.8%
Evan Mitchell23A+66.5%
Franderlyn Romero22Rk51.3%
Ian Kahaloa17Rk36.8%
Israel Cuevas21Rk50.5%
Jackson Stephens21A+50.8%
Jacob Constante*21Rk63.2%
Jacob Moody*22A,Rk60.9%
Jake Ehret22A60.1%
Jake Johnson24AA,AAA44.9%
Jake Johnson22Rk41.7%
Jake Paulson23A67.1%
Jeremy Kivel21A46.5%
Jesus Reyes22Rk57.3%
Jimmy Herget21Rk36.5%
Jimmy Moran25A+,AA,AAA49.7%
Joe Mantoni24A+,A36.4%
Joel Bender*23A+,AA,AAA56.8%
Jon Moscot23AAA38.5%
Jordan Ramsey22Rk54.2%
Jose De La Torre29AAA52.3%
Jose Lopez21Rk53.0%
Josh Smith27AAA,AA,A42.2%
Juan Martinez*22Rk70.6%
Junior Arias21Rk43.6%
Junior Morillo*23A40.6%
Keury Mella21A+45.0%
Kevin Shackelford26AA67.7%
Keyvius Sampson24AA,AAA45.7%
Kyle McMyne25AA58.4%
Layne Somsen26AA,AAA50.0%
Manuel Aybar22Rk40.2%
Mark Armstrong20A51.5%
Michael Sullivan*21A50.0%
Nick Christiani27AAA,AA49.6%
Nick Howard22A+44.4%
Nick Routt*24A+49.5%
Nick Travieso21A+43.0%
Nolan Becker*24A+48.0%
Patrick Schuster*24AA55.7%
Robert Stephenson22AA,AAA40.5%
Sal Romano21A+,AA56.5%
Sam LeCure31AAA45.2%
Sandy Lugo21Rk56.5%
Sarkis Ohanian21Rk35.3%
Scott Brattvet23A+,A,AAA47.5%
Seth Varner*23A,A+51.5%
Soid Marquez20Rk47.4%
Tanner Rainey22Rk49.1%
Tejay Antone21A61.2%
Tim Adleman27AA47.7%
Ty Boyles*19Rk,A44.4%
Ty Sterner*22A,Rk50.0%
Tyler Mahle20A54.0%
Tyler Parmenter22Rk,A42.7%
Wandy Peralta*23AA48.9%
Wendolyn Bautista22Rk56.0%
Wyatt Strahan22A57.2%
Zachary Correll19Rk48.7%
Zack Weiss23AA,A+46.1%

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