Scouting Background
Pitches: Fastball that works in the low 90’s and touches 94-95 every so often, an above average curveball and a change up.
Mechanics: Improved from the past, still some slight concerns. See this post from September for more detailed information on his mechanics.
Game Information
The game I watched for this post was from August 25, 2011. Lotzkar threw 6 shutout innings with 4 strikeouts and 2 walks. You can see the box score of the game here.
Game Breakdown
Here is the pitch by pitch description of the game
| Pitch | Type | Target | Result | Position | Notes |
| 1 | FB | Hit | Called K | Middle Low | |
| 2 | FB | Hit | GB to 1B | Inside Low | Infield hit |
| 3 | FB | Hit | Called K | Outside Low | |
| 4 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 5 | CH | Miss | Ball | Inside Middle | |
| 6 | FB | Hit | Ball | Outside Low | |
| 7 | FB | Hit | Pop Up to C | Inside Middle | |
| 8 | Pitch out | Ball | |||
| 9 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 10 | FB | Hit | Called K | Inside Low | |
| 11 | FB | Hit | Single to LF | Outside Middle | |
| 12 | CV | Miss | Called K | Inside Middle | |
| 13 | FB | Miss | Ball | Low Middle | |
| 14 | CV | Hit | Swing K | Low Middle | |
| 15 | SL? | Miss | Ball | Way outside Low | |
| 16 | FB | Miss | GB dp to SS | High Middle | |
| 17 | FB | Hit | Called K | Outside Middle | |
| 18 | FB | Hit | Foul | Outside Low | |
| 19 | FB | Miss | Ball | Outside High | |
| 20 | CV | Hit | Swing K | Middle Low | |
| 21 | FB | Miss | Ball | Middle High | |
| 22 | CV | Miss | Swing K | Middle dirt | |
| 23 | FB | Hit | Single to CF | Outside Middle | |
| 24 | FB | Miss | Ball | Middle Low | |
| 25 | FB | Hit | Called K | Inside Low | |
| 26 | FB | Hit | Single to SS | Inside Middle | Broken Bat caused infield single |
| 27 | FB | Miss | Ball | Way outside Middle | |
| 28 | FB | Miss | Foul | Inside Middle | |
| 29 | FB | Hit | Called K | Middle Low | |
| 30 | CV | Miss | Swing K | Middle dirt | |
| 31 | FB | Hit | GB to SS | Low Middle | |
| 32 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Middle | |
| 33 | FB | Miss | Foul | Inside Low | |
| 34 | FB | Miss | Ball | Way ouside High | |
| 35 | FB | Hit | Single to LF | Outside Middle | |
| 36 | FB | Miss | Ball | Outside High | |
| 37 | FB | Hit | Called K | Inside Middle | |
| 38 | CH | Miss | Ball | Inside Middle | |
| 39 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside High | |
| 40 | FB | Miss | Ball | Middle High | |
| 41 | CH | Hit | Called K | Outside Low | |
| 42 | CH | Miss | Ball | Outside dirt | |
| 43 | FB | Hit | Ball | Outside Low | |
| 44 | FB | Hit | Pop up to 3B | Inside Low | |
| 45 | CV | Miss | Ball | Inside High | |
| 46 | CV | Hit | Swing K | Outside Middle | |
| 47 | FB | Hit | Foul | Inside Middle | |
| 48 | CV | Miss | Swing K | Outside dirt | Barnhart CS DP |
| 49 | CV | Miss | Ball | Middle Low | |
| 50 | FB | Hit | GB to 1B | Outside Middle | |
| 51 | Camera | Miss | The | Pitch | |
| 52 | FB | Miss | Ball | Outside High | |
| 53 | FB | Miss | GB to 3B | Outside Low | |
| 54 | FB | Hit | Called K | Middle Low | |
| 55 | FB | Hit | Foul | Middle High | |
| 56 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside High | |
| 57 | CV | Miss | Foul | Middle Middle | |
| 58 | CV | Hit | FB to CF | Outside Middle | |
| 59 | CH | Miss | Pop up SS | Middle High | |
| 60 | FB | Hit | Called K | Inside Middle | |
| 61 | FB | Hit | Called K | Inside Middle | |
| 62 | FB | Hit | Foul | Inside Middle | |
| 63 | FB | Hit | GB to P | Outside Low | |
| 64 | CV | Miss | Ball | Way Outside High | |
| 65 | CV | Miss | Ball | Outside Middle | |
| 66 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 67 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 68 | FB | Hit | Ball | Middle High | |
| 69 | FB | Hit | Called K | Outside Middle | |
| 70 | FB | Hit | Single to RF | Middle Low | |
| 71 | FB | Hit | Called K | Outside Middle | |
| 72 | CV | Hit | Called K | Middle Low | |
| 73 | FB | Miss | Ball | Middle High | |
| 74 | CV | Hit | GB to 3B | Middle Low | |
| 75 | FB | Miss | Called K | Outside Middle | |
| 76 | FB | Hit | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 77 | FB | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 78 | FB | Hit | Foul | Inside Middle | |
| 79 | CV | Hit | GB to 3B | Middle Low | |
| 80 | CV | Miss | Ball | Inside Low | |
| 81 | FB | Miss | Ball | Middle High | |
| 82 | FB | Hit | Called K | Outside Low | |
| 83 | FB | Miss | Foul | Outside High | |
| 84 | FB | Hit | Swing K | Inside Middle | |
| 85 | FB | Hit | Pop Up 3B | Outside Low | |
Statistical Breakdown
It is worth noting that there wasn’t a radar gun for the game, so some of the fastball’s could have been change up’s that I simply missed.
| Pitch | Selection | Strike Rate |
| FB | 73% | 62% |
| CH | 6% | 40% |
| CV | 21% | 71% |
| SL | 1% | 0% |
| Pitch | Ball | Called K | Swing K | Foul | In play |
| Fastball | 23 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| Change Up | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Curveball | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| Slider | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Observations
Lotzkar is one of the top starting pitching prospects that the Reds have and after watching the game it just reaffirms the fact that his stuff is among the best in the system. If he can remain healthy, his fastball/curveball combination can dominant as both are above average pitches when he is on top of his game. While his numbers on the season don’t suggest that he is a guy who could rocket through the system because of his control, but when I watch him I could see him being a guy who doesn’t spend a ton more time in the system assuming his health can remain.