When 2018 began, Andy Sugilio was one of the prospects that was near the top of any “keep an eye on” list in the Reds organization. He hit .345 the season before in Billings – over .340 from each side of the plate. The tools were also there, with plus-plus speed being at the top of his scouting report.

The first day of the year with the Dayton Dragons went well for Andy Sugilio. On the road against the Bowling Green Hot Rods he went 3-5 with a double and he scored a run. Things didn’t go as well the next day. He went 0-2 and had to leave the game after suffering a hamstring injury. He would miss the next five weeks.

When Andy Sugilio returned on May 12th he walked and homered. The next game he went 3-5. That was followed up with a 1-5 effort that included a double. But he cooled off the rest of the way, going just 5-28 (.179). He also didn’t look quite right. The speed wasn’t there and at times it appeared he was still protecting his hamstring on the field. In his 10 games during May he hit .244/.262/.341 over 42 plate appearances.

June got out to a tough start for Andy Sugilio as he hit .217 with a home run in the first week of the month. Things didn’t improve in the second week as he hit just .130. He would get a few days off before the All-Star break, giving him a full week between games. He returned on June 21st and had a strong week, hitting .429 with three extra-base hits. But in the final three days of the month he went 0-8 – walking three times. The month had a hot stretch, but he still hit just .244/.303/.354 thanks to the very cold start.

The last few days of June carried forward into July as Andy Sugilio went 5-24 (.208) with a double in the first week. The next 11 games saw the center fielder rack up plenty of hits, going 19-49 (.388) with two doubles. As quickly as he got hot, he got cold. Over the final 10 games of the month he went just 6-41 (.146) without an extra-base hit. He hit .263/.288/.289 on the month. It was the lowest OPS during the season for any month.

The final stretch of the season didn’t get started well. Andy Sugilio went 5-23 (.217) with a triple during the first week of August. Things picked up for the then 21-year-old the following week as he went 9-29 (.310) with a double. He carried that forward over the next eight games, hitting .419 and slugging .871 thanks to two doubles, three triples, and two home runs. He cooled down some over the final 10 games of the year – hitting .306 with two walks and three doubles. In what was easily the best stretch of the year in the final five weeks of the season he would hit .319/.338/.487 over 130 plate appearances.

For all 2018 Season Reviews and Scouting Reports – click here (these will come out during the week throughout the offseason).

Andy Sugilio Spray Chart

As a Left Handed Hitter

As a Right Handed Hitter

Andy Sugilio Scouting Report

Hitting | He’s got an average hit tool that could play up thanks to his speed. As a switch hitter he’s stronger from the left side where his swing needs less work moving forward.

Power | There’s more pop from the left side, and he could have average to slightly above-average power in the future.

Running | He’s a plus-plus runner when healthy. It was clear that for most of the 2018 season his hamstring wasn’t quite 100% and it kept his speed down.

Defense | He’s capable of being a plus defender in center field, but needs to work on improving the routes as he continues to develop. The speed can be a difference maker here.

Arm | He’s got an above-average to plus arm.

The tools are there for Andy Sugilio, but there are some concerns there, too. His swing from the right side could use plenty of work. From the left side he’s strong on pitches at the waist and lower, but struggles on pitches up in the zone.  Despite that, he makes contact at a good rate, and there’s some potential for pop in the bat, too. In 2018 the hamstring injury to begin the year kept him off of his game. Even when he returned you could see that things weren’t 100%. It gives him a little bit of a do-over for part of the season.

Speed is a big part of his game when he’s right. It didn’t show up as often as you would have liked for most of 2018 because of the hamstring injury. But later in the year he was able to show it off a bit more. He’ll need to get on base more in order to take full advantage of it. Increasing his walk rate will be key to that as he’s got a low walk rate at this point in his career.

At this point, Andy Sugilio is a bit of the high-risk/high-reward kind of prospect. If things go right for him he’s an above-average center fielder in the big leagues. One that would provide value in the field, at the plate, and on the bases. But there’s also a chance that he struggles against more advanced pitching and doesn’t reach that ceiling. Right now he’s a guy who has all of the tools, but is still a bit raw in several areas of his game.

Longest Home Run of the Year

403 Feet on June 27th.

Interesting Stat on Andy Sugilio

In 2018 he had big splits – hitting .290/.322/.408 against right handed pitchers, but hit just .242/.266/.297 against left handed pitchers. In 2017, in a smaller sample size, he didn’t show splits at all.

2 Responses

  1. Stock

    I am a little higher on Sugilio than most. He is one of 7 prospects that I think could fly up the ranking lists. Maybe I am dreaming but I am hoping a Fangraph Future Value of 45+ but would be excited with a FV of 45 also. A 45+ FV would put him in the top 150.

    • Big Ed

      I am, too.

      The Reds’ great strength is center field. Siri, Friedl, Trammell, Sugilio, and Mariel Bautista.