Perhaps the headline is slightly misleading. Unprecedented may not be the right word, because I honestly didn’t check things out too far into the past, and batted ball data in the minor leagues only goes back to 2008. But today I came across something downright hilarious with regards to the power that Ibandel Isabel showed this season.

If you follow the Cincinnati Reds farm system you’ve probably heard and read all about Ibandel Isabel and his power. Earlier this week in the longest home runs of the season for the Chattanooga Lookouts article I noted that he had hit 20 home runs that went at least 400 feet this year. And with that note came the other note that only two players in the league even hit 21 total home runs. That alone is just a silly statistic to contemplate.

But earlier today I was going through the data, creating spray charts and compiling information on different hitters in the Reds organization. One of the first players I looked at was Ibandel Isabel. While it wasn’t the first thing that I noticed, when I got there it jumped out at me. His home run/fly ball rate was an absurd 44.1% this year. Basically that means that 44.1% of the fly balls he hits go over the fence for home runs.

Just how ridiculous is that number? Well, let’s talk about it. First, let’s note that Double-A is not using the juiced Major League baseball this year like Triple-A or the Major Leagues. The best mark in the Major Leagues this season? 32.8% by Christian Yelich. The best mark in Triple-A this season? 36.7%. And those are the rates with a juiced-to-the-gills baseball.

But here’s where things just get crazy. The Chattanooga Lookouts and Ibandel Isabel play in the Southern League. Obviously Isabel led the league in home run/fly ball rate. His 44.1% mark wasn’t just on top of the league, it made an absolute traveshamockery of the league. Setting the minimum plate appearances in the league to 150 plate appearances makes it so 131 players were eligible for the chart below:

Only three other players in the league even reached the 20% plateau. But here’s where it gets even more fun…. the gap between Ibandel Isabel and 2nd place in the league was larger than the gap between second place and literally 0%. While there is clearly areas of his game that could improve, what he’s able to do when he makes contact is hilariously special. To quote Billy Madison: He’s good (soft chuckle).

10 Responses

  1. Norwood Nate

    The power is real, and impressive. Does it warrant a roster spot though?

  2. AllTheHype

    Conversely, I’ll bet his contact % is not only worst in the league, but probably double the rate of the second worst player.

    MLB pitchers, if he were to get there (doubtful), would not need to eat after eating his lunch four times a night.

  3. Justin

    The Reds need him to play in AAA next season with the MLB balls. He’ll make news constantly and some team will get caught up in it and send us something good for him.

  4. Martino

    High SO rate in AA seems to indicate a much higher SO rate at the ML level.. So we’re looking at a much slower version of Aquino at 1st with a feast for famine approach? So someone correct me please. I desperately want to stand corrected. Would his BA suddenly jump way up beyond his current .243 at AA ball through some kind of at this time unknown magic?

    • Martino

      I think the best we can hope for is he’ll knock in a ton of HRs at AAA to become a preeminent trade chip.. I just don’t see him as a viable solution to replace Votto’s former or even current offensive production at first..

  5. Keith

    That’s absolutely the best use of ‘traveshamockery’ I’ve ever witnessed.

  6. Bigbill

    Would like to see him get a chance to be the RH power bat to give Votto about 30-45 games off next year.

  7. Cguy

    I really don’t see 40 man roster space for Isabel with the Reds. On the other hand, several AL teams may be interested in drafting him in the Rule 5 draft & seeing if he can stick next year (especially since ML is going with a 26 man active roster). Reds should try to trade him before the Rule 5 draft.