The 2021 season for Jud Fabian has been both a step forward and a step back at Florida as both his strikeouts and his home run totals have ballooned.
Jud Fabian Scouting Report
Height: 6′ 2″ | Weight: 195
Bats: Right | Throws: Left | Position: OF
Highest Ranking: 21st (ESPN)
There are plenty of things to like about Jud Fabian. He can run well, he can play center, he’s got a good arm, and there’s plenty of power in his game. That power has been a breakthrough thing in 2021, though it did start to show last year before the season was cancelled. The 20-year-old hit 20 home runs in 59 games for the Gators as a junior.
But there’s a big question mark on his scouting report, too – how much will he hit? He hit just .249 in 2021 for Florida. That came mostly due to the fact that he struck out 79 times in 269 trips to the plate. That’s a 29% strikeout rate. Against college pitching. His strikeout rate was lower in his first two year, but it was still higher than you’d like to see from a legitimate prospect. Because of the concerns with his ability to make contact he’s an extremely high risk player despite coming from a high profile school in the SEC. There’s a ton of upside here if he can figure out how to make more contact, but it’s rare to see someone miss that much in college and figure it out down the line, too.
Jud Fabian Video
Jud Fabian College Stats
For this draft scouting report series we are going to look at prospects rated 6th through 50th in a cumulative ranking based on the Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, ESPN, and Fangraphs draft rankings. The guys in the top five seem to have no chance of dropping to Cincinnati at 17, so we’re skipping them to focus a little more on guys with more of a shot to be Reds. The national rankings are updated throughout the month leading up to the draft, so there could be some slight changes from when the cumulative list was compiled and when you read this.
The 2021 Major League Baseball Draft will begin on July 11th and end on July 13th, taking part over a three day period of time. The Cincinnati Reds will have selections 17, 30, 35, and 53 in the first two rounds of the draft. Despite not selecting in the top five, or even the top 10, the Reds have the 4th largest bonus pool allotment to work with due to their compensation pick from losing Trevor Bauer in free agency, as well as a competitive balance round A pick (35th) that adds a lot of additional pool money.