The 2024 Major League Baseball Draft begins on Sunday and will continue through Tuesday when things wrap up with rounds 11-20. Over at Redleg Nation I’ve been working on some draft scouting reports for the top five players, which seem to be the tier that’s separated itself from the rest of the pack and is where the Reds should be selecting from with the #2 overall pick. So far I’ve written reports on Charlie Condon, Travis Bazzana, Chase Burns, and Jac Caglione.

The past few days have seen the big publications update their rankings. Baseball America’s Top 500 draft prospects was updated today. Keith Law of The Athletic updated his Top 100 draft prospects yesterday. Kiley McDaniel of ESPN updated his Top 250 draft prospects yesterday, too. In each of the rankings, Georgia’s Charlie Condon is the top player. Based on the scouting reports, he’d be at the top of my draft board, too. The crew at MLB Pipeline has Oregon’s Travis Bazzana at the #1 spot on their list.

Pretty much everything you read is that if Charlie Condon is available at the #2 spot that is where the Reds will go, with one exception – MLB Pipeline’s latest mock draft (from two weeks ago) that has them taking Jac Caglianone with Condon still on the board. If he isn’t there, then things could go a few ways and none of them feel like there’s a ton of certainty with them. It may come down to¬† a few things – do they think they can save more money to sign someone with their next pick who they can get to “fall” in the draft? Is someone there that’s just asking more than the club feels they are worth even though they may be the next guy on the board? Or is someone asking far less than the team thinks they are worth while also being on-par with other options there?

Rece Hinds and setting MLB Records

In what feels like some weird Twilight Zone episode about the Cincinnati Reds, they’ve have several rookies come up and light the world on fire and set several Major League records in the process over the last five seasons. Aristides Aquino came up late in 2019 after killing the ball in Triple-A and proceeded to hit what felt like a home run every night for four weeks. It tunred out it was only a home run every other day, on average, for those four weeks as he hit 14 of them in his first 27 games of the season. He set record after record about the most home runs in the fewest amount of games during that stretch.

Fast forward to this week and the Reds called up Rece Hinds. Like Aquino, he’s been known for his incredible power for quite a while now. But unlike Aquino, Hinds hadn’t exactly been crushing the ball in Triple-A. He had shown the big time power at times – including when he hit a 494-foot home run earlier this season – but in his 77 games this season with Louisville he had a .698 OPS thanks in large part to his .216 average and .290 on-base percentage.

None of that mattered in his big league debut when he went 2-3 with a double and a 449-foot home run. It also didn’t matter last night went he did one better, going 3-5 with a double, triple, and a 458-foot home run.

Those two games led to him setting multiple records in Major League Baseball. His five extra-base hits in his first two games set a new record, breaking the old record of four. The 15 total bases he’s accumulated in those two games also set a new record.

In the “this might not really be a record, but we’ve only been tracking this stuff for 10 years and it’s the record for that period of time” category, Rece Hinds became the first player to hit his first two big league home runs at least 445 feet. But, as noted, that’s only been tracked since 2015. Still, it’s pretty cool.

Ryan Cardona’s No-Hit run

Last night saw Ryan Cardona throw five hitless innings for the Dayton Dragons. He walked one batter and struck out seven. That came on the back of his previous start on July 2nd where he threw six no-hit innings against the Lake County Captains. If we go back to the start before that, he gave up four hits and one earned run in 5.0 innings against Fort Wayne. In that outing he gave up a leadoff double in the 5th inning before getting a fly out and two strikeouts. So dating back to June 27th, he’s tossed 12.0 hitless innings since allowing his last hit.

5 Responses

  1. Jeremy L

    After the first few rounds, should a team draft best available on the board or draft more with an emphasis on system wide needs?

    • The Duke

      My philosophy is that after the first few rounds you should try to get someone who has at least one standout tool and then hope you can develop the other ones. Like Kyle Henley has 80 speed and we took him in round 16, or take an elite defensive catcher and hope you can teach him how to hit better, take a pitcher with a huge arm but has control issues, etc…

      With only 20 rounds now the draft isn’t so much about filling out the system as it is finding the right lottery tickets. I think teams are using minor league free agency and international signings more so now to fill out the systems. It’s why we have a lot of MILB free agents in AA and AAA and why rookie ball and Low A are so international heavy.

  2. MK

    Assuming the Reds sign 18 of their draft picks, who are the likely 18 players that will need to be released?

    • 2020ball

      Why does anyone need to be released?

      I assume essentially none of them will play again this year due to the new timing of the draft. No roster spots needed for them.

      • Doug Gray

        Because the organization can only have so many players taking up roster spots. When you sign a player you have to cut someone or move someone to the 60-day injured list. But each org can only have 15 guys on that 60-day list before they can’t use it anymore even if someone could theoretically go on it for real reasons.

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