The Cincinnati Reds have landed two prospects in the just updated Baseball Prospectus Top 50 Prospects list. Left-handed pitcher Nick Lodolo and right-handed pitcher Hunter Greene were both present on the list and inside the top 30. You will need a Baseball Prospectus subscription to see the list, but if you have one, here’s the link.

For Nick Lodolo, he comes in rated as the 22nd best prospect in all of baseball. It’s a big jump for the lefty. He entered the year rated as the 57th prospect in the rankings from Baseball Prospectus. With limited professional experience entering the season, the jump to Double-A couldn’t have gone much better from a statistical standpoint. Lodolo has allowed three earned runs in 32.0 innings over seven starts. That’s a 0.84 ERA if you aren’t a human calculator. He’s allowed just 19 hits and walked just six batters while not allowing a home run and striking out 46 of the 122 hitters he has faced.

The lone problem he’s run into with Chattanooga is keeping a blister off of his pitching hand. He’s made just two starts in the last six weeks, though he did return this week and is scheduled to pitch on Sunday in the Futures Game in Colorado.

Hunter Greene made an even bigger jump up the list than Nick Lodolo did. Greene was unranked by Baseball Prospectus when the season began. He’s now ranked as the 29th best prospect in the game on this list. Greene began the year, along with Lodolo, in Double-A with the Lookouts. He was dominant there, making seven starts and posting a 1.98 ERA in 41.0 innings while walking 14 and striking out 60 batters.

That earned him a promotion to Triple-A Louisville. Things have been inconsistent with the Bats so far. Overall he’s allowed 12 earned runs in 17.1 innings on 16 hits, four home runs (all in his first start in a shoebox of a ballpark with the wind blowing out), 10 walks, and 23 strikeouts. At times he’s been dominant, but then would run into an inning when the proverbial wheels would come off. Just 21-years-old, he’s yet to face off against a hitter that’s younger than he is this season. There were always likely going to be a bump in the road along the way. Greene is finding them every so often so far in Triple-A as one of the youngest players in the league. But he’s been impressive overall in his first in-season games since July of 2018 even with a hiccup or two along the way.

11 Responses

  1. Jonathan Linn

    That is great news. Where did Jose Barrero rank? I would have thought he would have been in the top 50 as well.

    Did you see Fangraphs new Org Farm system rankings that came out today? They seem to have the Reds ranked lower than I would have imagined since Barrero, Ashcraft, Greene and Lodolo have all performed really well this year

    • Billy

      They have Barrero ranked #33, Greene #39, and Lodolo #64. That’s no value coming from the top of the list and not really enough prospects to generate a lot of value due to quantity. Their Reds list right now shows Ashcraft at #20, which just seems laughably low at this point.

      My takeaway was that the ranking might be a bit low, but it’s the graduations of India and Stephenson that make it so, and they really look like keepers.

    • Doug Gray

      He didn’t rank in the Top 50 or I would have mentioned him.

      I did see the Fangraphs farm rankings. I almost included a little blurb about them within this write up, but decided to hold off and wait until later to write something more substantial on their update as a more standalone piece.

    • Stock

      Fangraphs ranking is strictly the preseason ranking with graduations deleted (India, Stephenson) and adjusted for trades. Ashcraft, Greene, Barrero, Lodolo and Bonnin have been great, albeit some in limited action, but that does not factor into these ratings.

      • Jonathan Linn

        @ Stock – they released an updated 2021 rankings. I don’t understand their ranking system. does a grade 50 = future all-star?

        Example – the way Stephenson and India are playing, it seems their highest ranking of 40-45 was too low. no?

      • Doug Gray

        50 means average major leaguer. 60 would be a future all-star contender on a regular basis. 70’s are annual MVP candidates. Mike Trout is an 80. It’s a true generational superstar who does everything.

  2. RedsGettingBetter

    Maybe Ashcraft needs throw 100+ scoreless frames in a row to be ranked up… I think Aschcraft has the upside it is not good luck or by chance…

  3. Hanawi

    Forget how young Greene still is sometimes. Just 21 and in AAA is impressive considering how much development time he missed with the injury.

  4. Harold Morse

    I love cincys farm system they are awesome at drafting I’m a redsox fan but they need to take lessons from you guys

  5. Cousy

    Great news for the Reds on Greene and Lodolo. Found this interesting stat from last nights Arizona Reds team box score. Yassel Pino walked 4 times in one game. Cant say I’ve seen that happen many times in rookie ball. Looked up his stats on the year 9 At Bats and 7 walks. In his last season played he had 4 walks in 91 At bats. Go figure.

    https://www.milb.com/player/yassel-pino-689235

  6. kevinz

    Those two along with Jose at SS.
    If those three turn into what supposed to be.
    Reds will be fine.
    Keep adding depth throughout Minors.
    Draft very well in this coming draft as well.